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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.90vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.01+3.51vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.27-0.18vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.91+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.68+1.19vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-2.03-1.51vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-2.05-2.39vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-2.73-1.81vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-1.68-5.29vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-3.16-2.69vs Predicted
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13Hope College-3.89-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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2.9University of Wisconsin-0.260.2%1st Place
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6.51Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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4.82Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.35Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Illinois-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.49Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.61Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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8.19Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.71Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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9.31Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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10.55Hope College-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 35.1% | 26.4% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 24.9% | 25.2% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Emily Williams | 7.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Chris Li | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 8.6% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Ian Knox | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 21.4% |
| Natalie Glover | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.