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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.91vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+1.75vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.91+2.34vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-2.03+1.62vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-1.68-0.22vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-2.05-1.43vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.01-2.49vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-2.68-1.94vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-2.73-2.76vs Predicted
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12Hope College-3.89-1.42vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-3.16-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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2.91University of Wisconsin-0.260.3%1st Place
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4.75Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.34Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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6.62Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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5.78Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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6.57Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.51Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Illinois-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.24Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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10.58Hope College-3.890.0%1st Place
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9.24Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 34.1% | 27.8% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 25.4% | 24.5% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 10.4% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Ian Knox | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Chris Li | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 7.5% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 9.6% |
| Natalie Glover | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 55.4% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 25.6% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.