Race 3B

emma-2023

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nigel Yu 21.6% 21.1% 21.8% 14.3% 9.8% 6.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 32.7% 25.1% 17.7% 12.8% 6.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joey Skerbeck 4.8% 4.1% 6.1% 8.1% 10.1% 8.5% 16.5% 13.2% 13.6% 9.7% 5.3%
Caroline Henry 13.2% 13.1% 15.7% 17.8% 13.9% 11.7% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.4%
Ian Knox 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.6% 8.9% 11.5% 10.6% 13.3% 14.5% 11.7% 7.2%
Emily Williams 8.8% 9.7% 11.4% 12.1% 14.4% 13.5% 8.6% 11.8% 5.0% 4.0% 0.7%
Chris Li 2.2% 4.0% 2.8% 3.4% 6.4% 8.0% 8.9% 11.6% 15.9% 18.8% 18.0%
Lily Rouget 2.4% 1.7% 2.7% 4.6% 5.1% 6.5% 11.6% 11.9% 11.5% 20.2% 21.8%
Jack Charlton 4.1% 5.1% 5.4% 7.1% 9.2% 11.3% 13.2% 13.7% 14.0% 10.2% 6.7%
Luqman Waheeduddin 1.1% 2.0% 1.6% 3.5% 3.7% 5.0% 5.5% 7.9% 12.3% 19.4% 38.0%
Matthew Scanlon 4.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.7% 11.9% 14.3% 13.5% 10.7% 10.4% 5.3% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.