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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.26+2.09vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.27+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-2.68+5.25vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-2.05+3.01vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.77-0.99vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.07-5.40vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.91-2.67vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-3.16-1.06vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-1.68-5.03vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-2.01-5.36vs Predicted
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13Purdue University-2.73-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Wisconsin-0.260.2%1st Place
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5.02Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Illinois-2.680.0%1st Place
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7.01Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.01Hope College-0.770.2%1st Place
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2.6Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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6.33Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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8.94Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.97Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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6.64Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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8.13Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 20.9% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Chris Li | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 21.6% |
| Ian Knox | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 6.9% |
| Caroline Henry | 15.4% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 31.8% | 25.8% | 18.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 38.3% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.