← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin-0.26+1.97vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University0.07+0.42vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-1.27+1.87vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University-2.03+2.85vs Predicted
-
5Hillsdale College-1.68+0.98vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University-2.05+0.88vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-2.01-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.91-1.55vs Predicted
-
10Purdue University-2.73-1.54vs Predicted
-
11University of Illinois-2.68-2.60vs Predicted
-
12Hope College-2.63-3.53vs Predicted
-
13Marquette University-3.16-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97University of Wisconsin-0.260.2%1st Place
-
2.42Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
-
4.87Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
6.85Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
-
5.98Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
-
6.88Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
6.68Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
-
6.45Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
-
8.46Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
-
8.4University of Illinois-2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.47Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
-
9.56Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 23.6% | 24.1% | 20.9% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 34.6% | 28.3% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 10.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Ian Knox | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 14.9% |
| Chris Li | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 15.1% |
| Connor Bricco | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.