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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-1.27+4.01vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.07+0.44vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-2.03+3.88vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.91+1.53vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.01+0.74vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-1.68-1.03vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-2.05-1.21vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.63-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.26-7.15vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-2.73-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-2.68-3.44vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-3.16-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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2.44Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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6.88Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.53Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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6.74Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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5.97Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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6.79Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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8.22Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
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2.85University of Wisconsin-0.260.3%1st Place
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8.46Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Illinois-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.56Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Williams | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 34.7% | 24.8% | 19.0% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Ian Knox | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Connor Bricco | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 13.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 25.6% | 26.2% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 16.2% |
| Chris Li | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.