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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.80+6.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+2.66vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+4.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.39+1.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.53+0.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.03vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.00+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.58+1.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+1.57vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.81-4.40vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.11-2.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.07vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine0.90-1.58vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-5.28vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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4.66Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.85Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.25Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.1Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
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12.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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7.6Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 17.1% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Adler | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellen Dubois | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.5% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 22.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.3% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Kate Andersen | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 37.8% |
| Christina Johns | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.