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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.06+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.70+0.44vs Predicted
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3American University-0.06+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.14+1.28vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.56+0.79vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.36-1.94vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.06-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Virginia0.060.2%1st Place
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2.44University of Virginia0.700.3%1st Place
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3.59American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.79Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.06Virginia Tech-0.360.1%1st Place
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3.48William and Mary-0.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Lothrop | 18.3% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Montague | 31.9% | 27.0% | 20.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Karl Wagerson | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 29.2% | 29.3% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 21.0% | 49.4% |
| Daniel Hale | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 8.8% |
| Sam Dutilly | 17.3% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.