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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.70+1.45vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.06+0.40vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.36+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.14+0.25vs Predicted
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6American University-0.06-2.41vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Virginia0.700.4%1st Place
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3.56William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Virginia0.060.2%1st Place
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4.06Virginia Tech-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.59American University-0.060.2%1st Place
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5.68Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 35.3% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 14.0% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 4.6% |
| Connor Lothrop | 15.3% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Daniel Hale | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 7.9% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 27.0% | 29.5% |
| Karl Wagerson | 15.5% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.