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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.70+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.06+1.35vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.06+0.59vs Predicted
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4American University-0.06-0.42vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.36-0.90vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.56-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.14-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of Virginia0.700.4%1st Place
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3.35University of Virginia0.060.2%1st Place
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3.59William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.58American University-0.060.2%1st Place
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4.1Virginia Tech-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.81Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 35.8% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 16.3% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Sam Dutilly | 13.7% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Karl Wagerson | 15.9% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Hale | 8.9% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 9.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 50.7% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 27.7% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.