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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.70+1.45vs Predicted
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2American University-0.06+1.55vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.06+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.06-0.60vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.56+0.81vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.36-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.14-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Virginia0.700.4%1st Place
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3.55American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.59William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Virginia0.060.2%1st Place
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5.81Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.07Virginia Tech-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 36.2% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 13.7% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 13.3% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 17.2% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 2.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 50.4% |
| Daniel Hale | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 9.6% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 28.0% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.