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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.43+0.83vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.81+0.36vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.84-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-2.55-0.18vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.20-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Virginia Tech0.180.4%1st Place
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2.83University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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3.36William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.75American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Virginia-2.550.0%1st Place
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5.24Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 42.2% | 26.3% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 21.3% | 25.9% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Julia Hudson | 13.7% | 18.9% | 22.5% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 2.0% |
| Anika Liner | 11.6% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 4.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 23.3% | 18.8% |
| Anne Krieger | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 46.8% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 28.6% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.