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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.13vs Predicted
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2American University-1.07+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.43-0.15vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.81-0.64vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.20+0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-2.55-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.84-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Virginia Tech0.180.4%1st Place
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3.73American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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3.36William and Mary-0.810.2%1st Place
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5.4Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Virginia-2.550.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 41.5% | 26.4% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Anika Liner | 10.2% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 20.5% | 25.7% | 22.6% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Julia Hudson | 15.7% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 25.9% | 31.6% |
| Anne Krieger | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 45.2% |
| Carter Saunders | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 22.8% | 25.4% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.