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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.43+1.79vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.81+1.15vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.84-0.48vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-2.33vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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3.15William and Mary-0.810.2%1st Place
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1.99Virginia Tech0.180.4%1st Place
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4.52University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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3.67American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.89Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Penders | 20.6% | 26.4% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 15.7% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
| Aidan Young | 44.3% | 26.3% | 18.6% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Carter Saunders | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 28.7% | 31.5% |
| Anika Liner | 10.2% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 22.3% | 19.7% | 13.2% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 25.4% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.