Race 10A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tommy Fink 38.3% 26.3% 18.0% 8.3% 4.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Eric Decesar 8.4% 12.5% 13.7% 17.5% 12.3% 12.2% 11.8% 8.0% 3.6%
Quentin Chafee 11.2% 13.2% 14.0% 14.1% 14.3% 12.6% 10.6% 6.1% 3.9%
Dylan Griffin 2.6% 3.3% 4.2% 7.3% 8.2% 7.6% 11.1% 17.6% 38.1%
Peter Hughes 8.7% 11.2% 12.9% 11.7% 11.7% 11.7% 11.9% 13.0% 7.2%
William Cotta 7.1% 8.3% 10.0% 10.3% 13.4% 14.0% 15.2% 11.7% 10.0%
Viktor Bolmgren 7.1% 6.9% 8.9% 9.1% 12.5% 14.2% 14.0% 16.6% 10.7%
Michael Hession 11.3% 13.0% 12.3% 13.8% 13.3% 12.0% 11.2% 8.8% 4.3%
Michael Reney 5.3% 5.3% 6.0% 7.9% 9.5% 12.5% 13.3% 18.1% 22.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.