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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+6.30vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+9.58vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+6.24vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+6.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55+0.35vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97+2.22vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.13vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.52vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93+2.06vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-1.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.66+0.58vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.02-5.71vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.99-5.74vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.81-5.91vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-8.16vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.60-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Stanford University3.3022.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston College2.096.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University1.221.6%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College2.103.0%1st Place
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11.55Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.559.9%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University1.974.5%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University2.205.9%1st Place
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7.47Cornell University2.387.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania1.776.5%1st Place
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13.06George Washington University0.931.8%1st Place
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10.94Harvard University2.103.6%1st Place
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13.58Tufts University0.661.8%1st Place
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8.29Tulane University2.026.5%1st Place
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9.26Brown University1.994.5%1st Place
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10.09College of Charleston1.814.5%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.0%1st Place
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10.68University of South Florida1.602.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 22.1% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 15.2% |
| Sarah Young | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 26.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.