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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+5.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+5.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.89vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+3.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.53+0.32vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.00+1.07vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-2.24vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.39-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+3.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.95vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.81-3.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.90+1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.45vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.11-4.02vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.58-4.15vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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5.32Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.07Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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4.76Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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7.63Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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13.43University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 12.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Adler | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 20.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Burke | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Kate Andersen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 38.9% |
| Christina Johns | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 6.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 13.4% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.