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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.43+2.06vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.84+2.25vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07+0.13vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.81-1.29vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.20-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-1.02-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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2.24Virginia Tech0.180.4%1st Place
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5.25University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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4.13American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.71William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.71Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Virginia-1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Penders | 21.9% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Young | 37.1% | 27.3% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 28.0% | 29.2% |
| Anika Liner | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 8.6% |
| Julia Hudson | 11.5% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 21.2% | 46.7% |
| James Unger | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.