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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.43+2.06vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.23vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.81+0.69vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07+0.12vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.20+0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.84-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-1.02-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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2.23Virginia Tech0.180.4%1st Place
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3.69William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.12American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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5.76Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Virginia-1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Penders | 21.1% | 22.3% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Young | 36.6% | 29.8% | 17.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Julia Hudson | 13.4% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 4.9% |
| Anika Liner | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 18.3% | 7.8% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 47.8% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 25.0% | 30.8% |
| James Unger | 12.1% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.