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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-1.02+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.84+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.43-0.87vs Predicted
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5American University-1.07-0.87vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.81-2.31vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.20-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Virginia Tech0.180.4%1st Place
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3.94University of Virginia-1.020.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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4.13American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.69William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.62Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 40.1% | 24.1% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| James Unger | 10.1% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 6.6% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 25.2% | 31.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 19.2% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Anika Liner | 8.5% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 9.5% |
| Julia Hudson | 13.3% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 21.0% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.