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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.76+7.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+6.07vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+7.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+3.23vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51+0.18vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.60+6.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.81vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67+0.19vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29+0.13vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-1.88vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.90+2.92vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.54vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.71-6.16vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.61-2.56vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.88-1.16vs Predicted
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17Boston College4.43-11.40vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.08-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.07Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.35College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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12.5Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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10.13University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.12Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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14.92Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.84Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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14.84Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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5.6Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.51Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Roble | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Corey Hall | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Megan Magill | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 20.9% | 33.3% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christine Porter | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 9.7% |
| Erika Vranizan | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 33.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.