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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+4.41vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+6.38vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+4.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+3.74vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.60+7.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.82vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+1.32vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-2.61vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76-1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.61+2.69vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.02vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.88+3.04vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.08-2.46vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.22-4.22vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.46vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.50-6.95vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.29-7.04vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.90-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.35Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.91Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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15.04Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.54Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.78College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.05Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.96University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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14.6Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 13.5% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 9.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Christine Porter | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.5% |
| Megan Magill | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Erika Vranizan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 37.3% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Corey Hall | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 20.8% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.