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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+9.31vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.52vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.60+9.70vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+3.27vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+3.89vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+2.12vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.61+4.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.67vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.88+4.89vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.05vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76-3.66vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.90+1.56vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.70vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.79-7.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.07vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.08-6.18vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.29-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.31College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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5.52Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.7Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.89Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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14.89Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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14.56Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.78Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.82Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.68University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 10.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christine Porter | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 8.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Erika Vranizan | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 35.5% |
| Megan Magill | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 30.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.