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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+6.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+4.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+7.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.57+6.46vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+5.31vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.30+5.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24+4.92vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.47+1.24vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.42-3.79vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.78-1.87vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.56-6.55vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-7.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-5.35vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.17vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.13-4.52vs Predicted
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18Yale University1.83-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.79Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
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10.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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11.77Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.92Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Naval Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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7.21Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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13.83SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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9.32Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Ian Wells | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hugh Carty | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% |
| Zander King | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 26.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 16.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.