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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+6.34vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+10.27vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+5.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+2.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+5.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.47+4.99vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78+2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.20vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+1.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.56-3.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.57-0.25vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-4.76vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.30-1.47vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.83-4.78vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.42-7.99vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-6.21vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.13-4.45vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.27Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Naval Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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10.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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11.53Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.22Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.01Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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13.61SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lars Osell | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Hugh Carty | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Wells | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Zander King | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 15.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.