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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+6.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+5.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+7.06vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.42+3.24vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+2.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.54+0.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+3.85vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+1.86vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24+3.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13+2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.47-3.80vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-3.56vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.44vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.30-2.41vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.56-8.28vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.78-5.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles1.57-6.02vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.06Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.24Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.83Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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12.19Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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11.59Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Zander King | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Ian Wells | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.