← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+6.08vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.40+5.60vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+5.31vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.83+5.65vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+5.72vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.42+1.36vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.13+5.57vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.56vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.24+3.20vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.54-2.89vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.71vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.78-1.65vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.56-6.32vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania2.47-7.14vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-5.11vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles1.57-5.03vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University1.30-4.94vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.08U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.6Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
-
8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
9.65Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
-
10.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.36Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
-
12.57University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
10.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
12.2Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
7.11Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
10.35Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
-
6.68Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.86University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
-
10.97University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
-
12.06Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
-
13.77SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Lars Osell | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Zander King | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 15.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Ian Wells | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 13.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.