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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+9.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.57+9.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+4.06vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.42+3.23vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+5.51vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.83+3.78vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40+0.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.98vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.78+0.26vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.67vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.56-4.91vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-5.02vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.13-1.73vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.30-3.09vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.54-9.08vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.24-4.63vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.23Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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9.78Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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10.26Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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11.91Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.37Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.76SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Osell | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Ian Wells | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Zander King | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Dominik spinelli | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.