← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.83+9.07vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.24+10.58vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.57+8.25vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.54+2.87vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.40+2.48vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.95vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.23vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University2.42-0.65vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College0.76+5.01vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.53vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.56-3.92vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.89vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.30-1.11vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.04vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-4.10vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-8.61vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.13-4.20vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.35-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.07Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
-
12.58Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
11.25University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
-
6.87Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.48Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
-
6.95U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.35Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
-
14.01SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
7.47University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.08Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
11.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.89Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
-
7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
10.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
12.8University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
7.62Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Ian Wells | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dominik spinelli | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Zander King | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 28.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Lars Osell | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 17.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.