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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+6.23vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.42+5.64vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+4.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+2.83vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.20vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+1.51vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35+0.77vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+1.81vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.86vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+1.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.57+0.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.54-4.72vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.80vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-3.49vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.24-2.70vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.30-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.13-4.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.64Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.77Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.81Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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10.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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12.3Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.16Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Zander King | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Lars Osell | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
| Ian Wells | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 28.7% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.5% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 17.4% |
| Dominik spinelli | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.