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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+7.19vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+5.67vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+2.89vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92+0.27vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67+0.21vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.08+1.64vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.03vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.22-0.77vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.08vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.79-5.36vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.51-8.97vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.90-0.27vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.60-3.42vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.88-2.12vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.61-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.19Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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5.65Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.64Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.03Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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14.73Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.58Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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14.88Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 32.1% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 10.6% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 33.9% |
| Christine Porter | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.