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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+6.17vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+5.39vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.08+6.00vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.35+3.60vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+1.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+4.92vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.30+4.96vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+1.79vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.54-2.21vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+1.00vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-3.41vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76+2.19vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-5.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-4.12vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.57-5.03vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.24-4.61vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.13-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.0Tulane University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.6Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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11.96Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.79Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.79Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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14.19SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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7.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
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12.39Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 32.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dominik spinelli | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ian Wells | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.