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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+10.12vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+5.36vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.08+6.05vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.76+9.71vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35+2.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.89vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+2.82vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24+4.15vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.30+2.98vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.54-2.83vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.47-3.74vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-3.46vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.91vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.57-3.37vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-7.63vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.56-9.14vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-6.12vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.13-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.05Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.71SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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7.63Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.82Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.98Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.17Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Los Angeles1.570.0%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 28.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Dominik spinelli | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Ian Wells | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.