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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.35+4.22vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.81vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.37+4.42vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.19+3.00vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College0.17+0.77vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.70-1.54vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.70-2.57vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.95+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.52vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.26-3.95vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.54-1.02vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.67-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-3.77+1.20vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-4.63vs Predicted
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16Bates College-2.61-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.81Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.42Northeastern University-0.370.1%1st Place
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7.0Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College0.170.1%1st Place
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4.46McGill University0.700.2%1st Place
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4.43Connecticut College0.700.2%1st Place
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8.66University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.19University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.52University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.05University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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10.98University of New Hampshire-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.36Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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15.2University of New Hampshire-3.770.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.58Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rob Mailley | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 16.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Brendan OBrien | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Ted Richardsson | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Smits | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 2.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 3.7% |
| Benjamin Haddad | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 13.6% | 71.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 36.9% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.