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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.39+2.75vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.96+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+0.74vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.80+1.77vs Predicted
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6McGill University-1.69+3.32vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.80+2.54vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.32vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.82-2.32vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.35+1.16vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.86-1.16vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.37-3.51vs Predicted
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13Bates College-2.12-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-3.68vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-3.81-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Northeastern University0.390.2%1st Place
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2.67Connecticut College0.960.3%1st Place
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3.74University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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4.9Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.77University of New Hampshire-0.800.1%1st Place
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9.32McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.54University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.32University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.68Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.16University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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9.84University of New Hampshire-1.860.0%1st Place
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8.49Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.71Bates College-2.120.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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13.8University of New Hampshire-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Rooks | 18.6% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 30.8% | 26.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 17.0% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Cameron McLean | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Rohan Shah | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 9.7% |
| Cameron Gesswin | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| William Procter | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 7.9% |
| Maisey Jobson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 5.4% |
| Jacob Mitchell | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 12.8% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.