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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.39+2.75vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.82+4.63vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.96-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.39-0.24vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.36+3.39vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.80+0.73vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.80+1.61vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.37-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08+0.43vs Predicted
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11Bates College-2.12-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.86-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.35-1.75vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.69-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-3.81-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Northeastern University0.390.2%1st Place
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6.63Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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2.67Connecticut College0.960.3%1st Place
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3.76University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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8.39University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.73University of New Hampshire-0.800.1%1st Place
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4.89Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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9.61University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.29Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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10.53Bates College-2.120.0%1st Place
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9.99University of New Hampshire-1.860.0%1st Place
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11.25University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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9.26McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
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13.8University of New Hampshire-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Rooks | 17.5% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 30.1% | 25.4% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 18.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| William Procter | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Maisey Jobson | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 5.3% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 8.8% |
| Cameron Gesswin | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 10.9% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Jacob Mitchell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.