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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.01vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+5.48vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+5.34vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+2.77vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51-0.80vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.08+3.65vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.88+6.64vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76-1.12vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-0.74vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.90+3.79vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.04vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-3.29vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.22-4.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-5.25vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-7.67vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.60-4.36vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.61-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.2Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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10.65Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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14.64Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.88Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.26Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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14.79Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.71University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.84College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.64Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.1% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 32.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 19.4% | 33.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Corey Hall | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.5% |
| Christine Porter | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.