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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.91+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.15+0.75vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.20+1.04vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-2.13+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.24-3.15vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.82-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Rhode Island1.910.3%1st Place
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2.75University of Rhode Island1.150.2%1st Place
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4.04Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.61Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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1.85University of Rhode Island2.240.4%1st Place
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4.66Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 32.9% | 34.7% | 24.0% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Olin Guck | 15.9% | 23.5% | 36.0% | 19.4% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.2% | 6.4% | 13.4% | 38.4% | 32.0% | 5.6% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 75.7% |
| Declan Botwinick | 44.7% | 32.3% | 17.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 24.0% | 46.6% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.