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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+7.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.61+7.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+3.77vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.89+5.04vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.31+2.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.56+4.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.09+1.17vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05-3.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.36+2.28vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-0.32vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.77-1.37vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.26-4.51vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.01-4.42vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.01-5.33vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.58vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.14-7.99vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.97-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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10.47Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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4.7Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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11.28Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.68Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.63Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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7.49Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.58Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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12.56Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 18.5% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% |
| Connor Macken | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Emma Wang | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 24.5% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.