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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.56+9.07vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.89+6.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+5.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+5.84vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.09+3.01vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05-1.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61+3.09vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.31-0.79vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.26-1.27vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.14-2.11vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.77-1.32vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.01-3.48vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.36-1.76vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.01-5.26vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.97-2.57vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-9.25vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.88Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.84Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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4.86Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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9.68Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.24Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.43Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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12.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Connor Macken | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 15.7% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% |
| Jack Roman | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 24.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Wang | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.