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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.26+6.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+6.44vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.89+5.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+0.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.61+4.91vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.36+5.26vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.09+1.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.56+2.08vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.77+0.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.14-2.81vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.45-5.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.01-4.38vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-5.27vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.31-7.73vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.69-6.19vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.97-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.44Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.93Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.73Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.26Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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9.7Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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12.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.81Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.63Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Emma Wang | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 21.6% |
| Ryan McGauley | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Jack Roman | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Connor Macken | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.