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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.56+9.05vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.77+7.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+4.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+8.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.01+3.34vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.09+2.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.31+0.27vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.36+2.88vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.14-0.80vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.610.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-1.03vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-7.23vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.01-4.43vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-5.24vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-8.21vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.97-3.41vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.89-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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9.38Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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12.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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10.88Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.97Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.77Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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8.57Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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12.59Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
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9.13Fordham University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 5.1% | 2.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Emma Wang | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 23.2% |
| Jack Roman | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| Connor Macken | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.6% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 22.6% |
| Connor Bennett | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.