← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.45+5.58vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.77+7.32vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.26+4.43vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.01+4.51vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.31+2.21vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.69+4.00vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.89+1.96vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.98+0.43vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.61+1.28vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.14-2.16vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.01-2.32vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.05-7.24vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.56-2.53vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.09-5.64vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.61vs Predicted
-
16Bates College0.97-3.42vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.36-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.58Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
9.32Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.43Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
-
8.51Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
7.21Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
10.0Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.96Fordham University1.890.0%1st Place
-
8.43Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
10.28Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
-
7.84Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
8.68Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.76Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
-
10.47Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
-
8.36Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
12.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
12.58Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.2Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Connor Macken | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Connor Bennett | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Jack Roman | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Emma Wang | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 22.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 22.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.