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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.52vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+10.38vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.89+5.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+4.63vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01+3.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.26+1.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61+3.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+4.18vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69+1.03vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.77-0.69vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.14-2.78vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.45-5.16vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.56-2.56vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.09-5.67vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-3.94vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.01-7.43vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.31-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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12.38Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.33Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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10.03Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.31Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.44Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.33Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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11.06Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 19.2% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 22.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Emma Wang | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 22.8% |
| Connor Macken | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Ryan McGauley | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% |
| Jack Roman | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.