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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+6.52vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.76+5.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.70vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.61+7.32vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51-0.83vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+1.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.79-0.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-0.75vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.08-0.15vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-4.40vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-3.31vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.88+0.56vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-4.94vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.43-10.49vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.90-2.13vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.60-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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5.17Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.25Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.85Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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14.56Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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5.51Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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14.87Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.36Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Christine Porter | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 31.8% |
| Corey Hall | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 34.3% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.