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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+5.40vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.14+5.00vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.31+3.42vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.77+4.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.01+2.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+1.60vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.56+2.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.36+2.30vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89-1.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-4.03vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.61-1.95vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.46vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-4.02vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.01-6.54vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.97-3.47vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.09-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.4Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.3Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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11.3Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.85Fordham University1.890.0%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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9.98Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.46Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.53Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 18.7% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Emma Wang | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 22.5% |
| Connor Macken | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 22.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.