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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.03+8.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.60+9.26vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.59+4.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.13+5.56vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+1.72vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.10+0.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.13-1.10vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.81+2.50vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.54-0.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.74-2.91vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.32+3.07vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.55-7.39vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.69-5.45vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.29-4.90vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.91+0.26vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.77-5.11vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Bowdoin College1.030.0%1st Place
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11.26Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.5Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.18Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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14.07Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.61Brown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.55Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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15.26Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.89Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timmy Gee | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Jed Lory | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Owen | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Devon Owen | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 25.9% | 28.7% |
| Martins Atilla | 17.1% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 20.0% | 52.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.