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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.13+4.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.69+5.36vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.54+4.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.74+3.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.59+2.58vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.60+5.62vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.10-1.04vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.32+5.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.13+0.66vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.55-5.52vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-4.02vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.77-1.20vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.14vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.81-3.18vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.03-5.11vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.29-7.09vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.91-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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7.94Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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11.62Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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5.96Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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13.82Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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4.48Brown University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.8Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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10.82Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College1.030.0%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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15.35Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Simpson | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Devon Owen | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 6.1% |
| Nick Budington | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 23.5% | 27.6% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Martins Atilla | 17.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jed Lory | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| James Owen | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Timmy Gee | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 18.5% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.