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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.13+8.27vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.81+8.58vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College0.60+8.31vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54+4.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.59+2.65vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.10+0.14vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.69+0.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.77+2.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.06vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.29-1.19vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.74-3.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.13-6.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.03-2.98vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.55-9.38vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-8.15vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.32-1.84vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.91-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.31Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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8.02Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College1.030.0%1st Place
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4.62Brown University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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14.16Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.35Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| James Owen | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Nick Budington | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Devon Owen | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Simpson | 9.8% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timmy Gee | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Martins Atilla | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 27.0% | 27.0% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 17.3% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.