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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.59+6.54vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.54+5.90vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.13+2.86vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.69+3.48vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.81+5.50vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.60+5.62vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.10-1.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86-1.26vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.29+0.08vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.55-5.50vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.13-1.37vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.74-4.80vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.03-2.99vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.32+0.13vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.77-4.17vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-7.25vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.91-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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7.9Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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10.5Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.62Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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5.91Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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4.5Brown University2.550.2%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College1.030.0%1st Place
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14.13Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.83Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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15.33Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Sheppard | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| James Owen | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 6.4% |
| Nick Budington | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Martins Atilla | 16.9% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Devon Owen | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Timmy Gee | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 27.0% | 27.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 18.9% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.