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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+6.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+6.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.13+2.89vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.10+1.95vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.77+5.67vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.59+1.96vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.81+3.77vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.03+1.63vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.69-1.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.60+1.31vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.74-3.57vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-5.15vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.13-3.38vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.55-9.37vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.32-0.97vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-7.24vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.91-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.95Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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10.67Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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10.77Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College1.030.0%1st Place
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7.59Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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11.31Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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4.63Brown University2.550.2%1st Place
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14.03Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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15.33Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Simpson | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nick Budington | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 1.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| James Owen | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Timmy Gee | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Devon Owen | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jed Lory | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Martins Atilla | 16.5% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 27.3% | 27.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 18.2% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.